{"id":344148,"date":"2023-11-05T00:20:43","date_gmt":"2023-11-05T01:20:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/?p=344148"},"modified":"2023-11-05T04:03:47","modified_gmt":"2023-11-05T04:03:47","slug":"hole-poked-in-bart-cummings-cup-winner-theory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/?p=344148","title":{"rendered":"Hole poked in Bart Cummings' Cup winner theory"},"content":{"rendered":"

Champion trainer Lee Freedman says\ufeff the Bart Cummings theory is fairly reliable, but there is more than one way to prepare a Melbourne Cup<\/a> winner.<\/p>\n

While Cummings will forever be the "Cups King", having won the Flemington two-mile feature on 12 occasions, Freedman sits second on the list with five victories to his name.<\/p>\n

Speaking to Nine's The Heart of Racing<\/em><\/a> podcast, Freedman explained how the increase of international interest in the Melbourne Cup has impacted the race for trainers.<\/p>\n

FORM GUIDE: <\/strong>Expert's comprehensive analysis on 2023 Melbourne Cup runners\ufeff<\/strong><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

\ufeffREAD MORE:<\/strong> Why Aussie icon kept riding after double family tragedy<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

READ MORE:<\/strong> How weather forecast will impact the 2023 Melbourne Cup at Flemington<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

But Cummings' tried and tested method – which dictates a horse should have about 10 kilometres worth of races under its belt in a preparation before contesting the 3200m race that stops a nation – \ufeffremains a trustworthy plan.<\/p>\n

\"'Cups<\/p>\n

"I think post-the English horses coming in 1993, the first ones that raided the race… \ufeffthere's two distinct ways now," Freedman said.\ufeff<\/p>\n

"There's people who still follow exactly what (Cummings) said, and that works well, the only difference is I don't think \ufeffthe horses are as strong these days – certainly my horses can't take the racing that they took 30 years ago, I don't know why… maybe we're breeding more sprinters.<\/p>\n

"I always subscribe to that theory, not so much the 10km but close to it. You want to have five, maybe six runs.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/omny.fm\/shows\/the-heart-of-racing-with-will-freedman-and-neil-br\/lee-freedman-the-art-of-winning-the-melbourne-cup\/embed<\/a><\/p>\n

"I used to follow slavishly what Bart put down… but that's not necessarily the only way to go.\ufeff The first year I didn't do that\ufeff was Doriemus, because he was a very lightly framed horse, and he went straight from the Caulfield Cup into the Melbourne Cup successfully.<\/p>\n

"It very much depends on the horse, whether he can take the old Bart \ufeffpreparation or whether you have to go a different route."<\/p>\n

One 2023 hope who has plenty of miles in its legs heading into Tuesday's event is reigning Melbourne Cup winner Gold Trip, which won the Turnbull Stakes on October 7 before finishing third in the Caulfield Cup and then fifth in the Cox Plate.<\/p>\n

Here is everything you need to know about the 2023 Melbourne Cup.<\/p>\n

WHAT TIME WILL THE 2023 MELBOURNE CUP RUN?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The 2023 Melbourne Cup will be run on Tuesday, November 7 at 3pm (AEDT).<\/p>\n

In Queensland, daylight savings time doesn't apply, so the main race will run at 2pm (AEST). In Western Australia, the race will be at midday, 1.30pm in the Northern Territory, and 2.30pm in South Australia.<\/p>\n

The first race on Melbourne Cup Day is at 10.45am (AEDT) and the last race is at 5.15pm (AEDT).<\/p>\n

THE RACE ITSELF<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Race 7 is the Melbourne Cup at Flemington Racecourse and it is run over 3200m.<\/p>\n

A total of 24 horses make up the field. There are a total of 10 races contested on Melbourne Cup day.<\/p>\n

The main race is usually completed in just over three minutes.<\/p>\n

PRIZEMONEY ON OFFER<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\ufeff<\/strong>The Melbourne Cup is the world's richest handicap race.<\/p>\n

The race is now worth a total of $8 million, and the famous 18ct solid gold Hardy Brothers trophy is worth $250,000. The total was increased from $7.3 million in 2020.<\/p>\n

The winner will receive $4.4 million, second place $1.1 million, third $550,000, fourth $350,000, fifth $230,000, and sixth to 12th $160,000.<\/p>\n

Jockeys receive five per cent of the prizemoney and a miniature Melbourne Cup trophy worth $10,000.<\/p>\n

\"Photo<\/p>\n

Trainers receive 10 per cent of the prizemoney and a separate replica trophy, and the connections collect the rest.<\/p>\n

The horse's strapper also gets a replica Melbourne Cup trophy valued at $5000.<\/p>\n

Each year two identical trophies are crafted in case there is a dead heat in the Cup, but that has never happened.<\/p>\n

The first Melbourne Cup in 1861 was worth 750 pounds to the winner, plus a gold watch.\ufeff<\/p>\n

ODDS FOR 2023 MELBOURNE CUP<\/h2>\n

Courtesy of TAB, correct as of Sunday 9am<\/p>\n

$3.30 Vauban<\/p>\n

$4.60 Gold Trip<\/p>\n

$7 Without A Fight<\/p>\n

$10 Soulcombe<\/p>\n

$19 Breakup<\/p>\n

\ufeff$21 Absurde<\/p>\n

$26 Cleveland, Lastotchka, Future History<\/p>\n

$34 Vow And Declare, More Felons<\/p>\n

\ufeff$41 Ashrun, Military Mission<\/p>\n

$61 Right You Are, Kalapour<\/p>\n

$71 Alenquer, Serpentine<\/p>\n

$101 Daqiansweet Junior, Okita Soushi, Interpretation<\/p>\n

$126 Sheraz, Magical Lagoon, Virtuous Circle<\/p>\n

$151 True Marvel\ufeff<\/p>\n

\"Waterhouse<\/p>\n

FULL FIELD FOR 2023 MELBOURNE CUP<\/h2>\n

1. GOLD TRIP (FRA) (7yo, 58.5kg, Ciaron Maher and David Eustace) – barrier 2<\/p>\n

2. ALENQUER (FRA) (6yo, 56.5kg, Mike Moroney) – barrier 9<\/p>\n

3. WITHOUT A FIGHT (IRE) (7yo, 55.5kg, Anthony and Sam Freedman) – barrier 16<\/p>\n

4. \ufeffBREAKUP (JPN) (6yo, 55kg, Tatsuya Yoshioka) – barrier 18<\/p>\n

5.\ufeff VAUBAN (FRA) (6yo, 55kg, Willie Mullins) – barrier 3<\/p>\n

6.\ufeff SOULCOMBE (GB) (5yo, 53.5kg, Chris Waller) – barrier 4<\/p>\n

7. ABSURDE (FRA) (6yo, 53kg, Willie Mullins) – barrier 8<\/p>\n

8. RIGHT YOU ARE (7yo, 53kg, Ciaron Maher and David Eustace) – barrier 15<\/p>\n

9. VOW AND DECLARE (8yo, 53kg, Danny O'Brien)\ufeff – barrier 19<\/p>\n

10. CLEVELAND (IRE) (6yo, 51.5kg, Kris Lees) – barrier 23<\/p>\n

11. ASHRUN (FRA) (8yo, 51.5kg, Ciaron Maher and David Eustace)\ufeff – barrier 11<\/p>\n

12. DAQIANSWEET JUNIOR (NZ) (6yo, 51.5kg, Phillip Stokes) – barrier 12<\/p>\n

13. OKITA SOUSHI (IRE) (6yo, 51.5kg, Joseph O'Brien) – barrier 20<\/p>\n

14. SHERAZ (FRA) (7yo, 51.5kg, Chris Waller) – barrier 22<\/p>\n

15. LASTOTCHKA (FRA) (5yo, 51kg, Jean-Marie Beguigne) – barrier 21<\/p>\n

16. MAGICAL LAGOON (IRE) (5yo, 51kg, Chris Waller) – barrier 7<\/p>\n

17\ufeff. MILITARY MISSION (IRE) (6yo, 50.5kg, Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott) – barrier 5<\/p>\n

18. SERPENTINE (IRE) (7yo, 51kg, Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott) – barrier 1<\/p>\n

19.\ufeff VIRTUOUS CIRCLE (NZ) (4yo, 51kg, Liam Howley) – barrier 6<\/p>\n

20. \ufeffMORE FELONS (IRE) (6yo, 50.5kg, Chris Waller) – barrier 24<\/p>\n

21. FUTURE HISTORY (GB) (6yo, 50kg, Ciaron Maher and David Eustace)\ufeff – barrier 13<\/p>\n

22. INTERPRETATION (IRE) (\ufeff5yo, 50kg, Ciaron Maher and David Eustace) – barrier 17<\/p>\n

23. KALAPOUR (IRE) (\ufeff7yo, 50kg, Kris Lees) – barrier 14<\/p>\n

24. TRUE MARVEL (FRA) (8yo, 50kg, Matthew Smith) – barrier 10<\/p>\n

\"Mark<\/p>\n

FULL RACE DAY SCHEDULE AT FLEMINGTON<\/h2>\n

On Melbourne Cup day, there will be a total of 10 races, including the feature race 7.<\/p>\n

The first race is at 10.45am (AEDT) and the last race of the day is scheduled at 5.15pm (AEDT).<\/p>\n

All times in AEDT.\ufeff<\/p>\n

Race 1<\/strong>, 10.45am – Darley Maribyrnong Plate 1000m<\/p>\n

Race 2<\/strong>, \ufeff11.20am – Furphy Plate 1800m<\/p>\n

Race 3<\/strong>, 12pm – Tab Trophy 1800m<\/p>\n

\ufeffRace 4<\/strong>, 12.40pm – The Schweppervescence Plate 1000m<\/p>\n

Race 5<\/strong>, 1.20pm – The Macca's Run 2800m<\/p>\n

\ufeffRace 6<\/strong>, 1.55pm – Mss Security Subzero 1400m<\/p>\n

Race 7, 3pm – Lexus Melbourne Cup 3200m<\/strong><\/p>\n

\ufeffRace 8<\/strong>, 3.50pm – Howden Desirable Stakes 1400m<\/p>\n

Race 9<\/strong>, 4.35pm – The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes 1400m<\/p>\n

\ufeffRace 10<\/strong>, 5.15pm – Paramount+ Trophy 1400m<\/p>\n

\"Golden<\/p>\n

WEATHER FORECAST FOR MELBOURNE CUP DAY<\/h2>\n

\ufeffT\ufeffhe 2023 Melbourne Cup<\/a> will be impacted by some light rain according to the Bureau of Meteorology forecast.<\/p>\n

According to the BoM as of Sunday, the November 7 weather will be "partly cloudy, medium chance of showers most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm".<\/p>\n

With the famous $8 million, 3200m Flemington<\/a>\ufeff feature scheduled to jump at 3pm, it may be raining while the great race is running.<\/p>\n

While the chance of rain on the day is 50 per cent, the BoM is only predicting up to two millimetres, and a top temperature of 29 degrees.<\/p>\n

\ufeffThe weather on Melbourne Cup day not only impacts the revellers at Flemington but also the horses on the track.<\/p>\n

Most race horses prefer either a dry track or a softer (rain effected) one, meaning the chances of each \ufeffrunner will be skewed depending on the state of the surface.<\/p>\n

Race tracks are constantly graded on condition from a "good" range to a "heavy" range. Only if the grading exceeds a "heavy 8" and racing becomes dangerous will events be cancelled. Stewards can also delay races if there is lightning in the area.<\/p>\n

At this stage there is no chance the 2023 Melbourne Cup will be called off due to weather.\ufeff<\/p>\n

\"Legendary<\/p>\n

\ufeffHOW IS THE MELBOURNE CUP FIELD DECIDED?\ufeff<\/h2>\n

Connections, referring to the owners and trainer of a racehorse, must nominate their horse for the Melbourne Cup. Selection is open to both local and international horses with no restrictions on sex.<\/p>\n

\ufeffFor the 2023 event, a total of 132 horses were nominated before the September 5 cut-off. The list included 117 Australian horses and 15 stayers from overseas hoping to win a share of the $8 million prize money.<\/p>\n

As soon as that list is completed, the handicappers will assess and assign each nominee a weight, based on their handicap rating and past performances at the time.<\/p>\n

There are two requirements that all racehorses must meet to participate in the process. This includes that a nominated horse must be at least three years old, while a horse's handicap-allocated weight must exceed 49kg, but be no more than 57kg.<\/p>\n

The handicappers will draw up an "order of entry" which ranks every horse from first to last based on how likely they are to make the final field. Generally, the horses at the top of the list will be assigned the heaviest weights.<\/p>\n

From the time it is created, the order of entry will then change when connections withdraw their horse from contention, or when a nominated horse moves up the list based on weight penalties or performance in exemption events.<\/p>\n

When the Melbourne Cup barrier draw happens on the Saturday before the race, the top 24 ranked horses on the order of entry will form the Cup field, and each will be assigned a barrier.<\/p>\n

BRIEF HISTORY OF THE MELBOURNE CUP\ufeff<\/h2>\n

The inaugural Melbourne Cup, which was run in 1861, was won by Archer from a field of 16 horses. Since then, the race has grown so much that Melbourne Cup day is a public holiday for most of the state of Victoria.<\/p>\n

Makybe Diva is the only horse to have won the Cup three times, securing the win consecutively between 2003 and 2005, jockeyed by Glen Boss.<\/p>\n

The jockeys with the most victories are Harry White (1974, 1975, 1978, 1979) and Bobbie Lewis (1902, 1915, 1919, 1927). Damien Oliver can equal that record if he wins his fourth this year, before he retires in December.<\/p>\n

With 12 Melbourne Cup victories spanning over 43 years, Bart Cummings holds the record for the most victories as a trainer. His last triumph came in 2008.<\/p>\n

Verry Elleegant was the 2021 Melbourne Cup winner, becoming the first horse in history to win the race from barrier 18.<\/p>\n

The 2022 winner, Gold Trip, will again contest the race in 2023.\ufeff<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Champion trainer Lee Freedman says\ufeff the Bart Cummings theory is fairly reliable, but there is more than one way to prepare a Melbourne Cup winner. […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":344153,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/344148"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=344148"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/344148\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":344160,"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/344148\/revisions\/344160"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/344153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=344148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=344148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sportinfo.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=344148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}